INFORMATION GIVEN
FY 2000
Sales
EBITDA
Depreciation
Operating Profit
Net Income
Increase in Annual Growth Revenue
Free Cash Flow Growth
Upfront Investment Required
$22,500
$2,500
$1,100
$1,400
$660
10% Over 5yrs
5%
$1.5mm
2002E
2003E
2004E
2005E
2006E
Sales
EBITDA
(Depreciation)
EBIT
(Tax Expense)
EBIAT
CAPEX
Investment in Working Capital
$1,200
$180
($200)
($20)
$8
($12)
$300
$0
$2,400
$360
($225)
$135
($54)
$81
$300
$0
$3,900
$585
($250)
$335
($134)
$201
$300
$0
$5,600
$840
($275)
$565
($226)
$339
$300
$0
$7,500
$1,125
($300)
$825
($330)
$495
$300
$0
Risk-free Rate (Rf)
Project Cost of Debt (Rd)
Market Risk Premium
Marginal Corporate Tax Rate
Project Debt Beta (d)
Asset Beta
5.0%
6.8%
7.2%
40%
0.25
1.50
Full Equity Financed Scenario
Asset Beta
Cash Flow Growth rate
Risk Free Rate of Return
Market Risk Premium
Cost Of Equity
Initial Investment
Cost Of Debt
1.5
5%
5%
7.20%
15.80% 0% Debt
1500
6.80%
Project Debt Beta
0.25
Initial Investment
2002E
2003E
2004E
2005E
$1,200
$180
($200)
($20)
$8
($12)
$300
$0
$2,400
$360
($225)
$135
($54)
$81
$300
$0
$3,900
$585
($250)
$335
($134)
$201
$300
$0
$5,600
$840
($275)
$565
($226)
$339
$300
$0
($112)
86%
($97)
$6
75%
$4
$151
64%
$97
$314
56%
$175
($1,500)
Sales
EBITDA
Depreciation
EBIT
Tax Expense
EBIAT
CAPEX
Investment in Working
Capital
Free Cash Flow
Discount Factor
Present Value
100%
($1,500)
Total Present Value
NPV
2728.49
1228.49
2006E
Terminal Value
$7,500
$1,125
($300)
$825
($330)
$495
$300
$0
$495
48%
$238
$4,813
48%
$2,311
ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE (APV) APPROACH
Asset Beta
Cash Flow Growth rate
Risk Free Rate of Return
Market Risk Premium
Cost Of Equity
Initial Investment
Cost of Debt
1.5
5%
5%
7.20%
15.80%
1500
6.80%
Project Debt Beta
0.25
Debt
Cost of Debt
Interest Paid
500
6.80%
34
Initial Investment
Assumption
Planned Debt Financing
Tax Shield
TV
Cost of Debt Capital
PV of Tax Shield
PV of TV of Tax Shield
PV of Tax SHield
NPV of Project
Total Value of Project
Implied Initial D/E Ratio
2003E
2004E
$1,200
$180
($200)
($20)
$8
($12)
$300
$0
($112)
$2,400
$360
($225)
$135
($54)
$81
$300
$0
$6
$3,900
$585
($250)
$335
($134)
$201
$300
$0
$151
$500
$13.60
$500
$13.60
$500
$13.60
$11.9
$11.2
($1,500)
Sales
EBITDA
Depreciation
EBIT
Tax Expense
EBIAT
CAPEX
Investment in Working Capital
Free Cash Flow
Total Present Value
NPV
2002E
2728.49
1228.49
6.8%
$12.7
$143.9
$200
$1,428
$2,928
0.17
PPROACH
2005E
2006E Terminal
Value
$5,600
$840
($275)
$565
($226)
$339
$300
$0
$314
$7,500
$1,125
($300)
$825
($330)
$495
$300
$0
$495
$4,813
$500
$13.60
$500
$13.60
$0
$0
$200
$10.5
$9.8
For Perpetual growth by APV value of the project discounted to present date
discounted to present date is sum of only Equity funded value +PV of Tax shield
WACC for constant D/E Ratio
Assumptions
Target D/E
Target D/V
Growth rate TV
Tax Rate
Asset Beta
Debt Beta
Cost Of Debt*
Risk Free Rate (Rf)
Risk Premium
Debt
Equity
Equity Beta
Cost Of Equity
WACC
0.50
0.33
5%
40%
1.5
0.25
6.80%
5%
7.20%
33%
67%
1.95
19.04%
14.05%
0
Years
Initial Investment
($1,500)
Sales
EBITDA
2002E
$1,200
$180
($200)
($20)
$8
($12)
$300
Depreciation
EBIT
Tax Expense
EBIAT
CAPEX
Investment in Working
Capital
Free Cash Flow
Discounting Factor
Present Value
NPV
$0
($112)
100%
($1,500)
1924.96
88%
($98)
ant D/E Ratio
2003E
2004E
2005E
2006E
Terminal
$2,400
$360
($225)
$135
($54)
$81
$300
$3,900
$585
($250)
$335
($134)
$201
$300
$5,600
$840
($275)
$565
($226)
$339
$300
$7,500
$1,125
($300)
$825
($330)
$495
$300
$0
$0
$0
$6
$151
$314
$0
$495
$5,741
77%
$5
67%
$102
59%
$186
52%
$256
52%
$2,975