Air Thread Case Final
Air Thread Case Final
Equity Net
Comparable Companies: Market Value Debt
Universal Mobile 118,497 69,130
Neuberger Wireless 189,470 79,351
Agile Connections 21,079 5,080
Big Country Communications 26,285 8,335
Rocky Mountain Wireless 7,360 3,268
Avgerage (w/o Rocky)
Average
1) Equity betas were estimated on a weekly based on weekly stock returns over a three year period.
Note: The current industry and competitor leverage ratios reflect the historical averages that existed over the past three years.
Including all Comparable Companies
Avg. Levered Beta 1.00 Unlevered Return
Debt Beta Risk Free Rate
Cost of Debt 5.50% Unlevered Beta
= WACC
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Rate 4.25%
Levered Beta 1.00
EMRP 5.00%
EMRP 5.00%
WACC
7.58%
7.50%
Enterprise Value EV/Revenue EV/EBIT EV/EBITDA
187,627 4.28x 15.91x 11.07x
268,821 6.30x 38.29x 19.07x
26,159 0.75x 16.04x 2.64x
34,620 0.89x 5.17x 2.74x
10,628 2.62x 20.84x 10.33x
Average (w/o Rocky) 3.05x 18.85x 8.88x
untain)
Balance Sheet Income Statement
Assets: 2005 2006 2007 Operating Results: 2005 2006 2007
Cash & Cash Equivalents 29.0 32.9 204.5 Service Revenue 2,827.0 3,214.4 3,679.2
Marketable Securities 0.0 249.0 16.4 Plus: Equipment Sales 203.7 258.7 267.0
Accounts Receivable 362.4 407.4 435.5 Total Revenue 3,030.8 3,473.2 3,946.3
Inventory 92.7 117.2 101.0 Less: System Operating Expenses 604.1 639.7 717.1
Prepaid Expenses 32.1 35.0 41.6 Less: Cost of Equipment Sold 511.9 568.9 640.2
Deferred Taxes 8.2 0.0 18.6 Less: Selling, General & Administrative 1,217.7 1,399.6 1,555.6
Other Current Assets 15.5 13.4 16.2 EBITDA 697.0 865.0 1,033.3
Total Current Assets 539.9 854.9 833.8 Less: Depreciation & Amortization 490.1 555.5 582.3
EBIT 206.9 309.5 451.1
Property, Plan & Equipment 2,553.0 2,628.8 2,595.1 Less: Interest Expense 84.9 93.7 84.7
Licenses 1,362.3 1,494.3 1,482.4 Plus: Equity in Earnings of Affiliates 66.7 93.1 90.0
Customer Lists 47.6 26.2 15.4 Plus: Gains (Losses) on Investments 18.1 50.8 83.1
Marketable Equity Securities 225.4 4.9 0.0 Plus: Other Income 54.5 (46.6) 7.0
Investments in Affiliated Entities 172.1 150.3 157.7 EBT 261.3 313.1 546.5
Long Term Note Receivable 4.7 4.5 4.4 Less: Taxes 95.9 120.6 216.7
Goodwill 481.2 485.5 491.3 Income Before Minority Interest 165.5 192.5 329.8
Other Long Term Assets 30.0 31.1 31.8 Less: Minority Interest 10.5 13.0 15.1
Total Assets 5,416.2 5,680.6 5,611.9 Net Income 155.0 179.5 314.7
2,416
2006 WC 134 2,416
(19)
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses (839) (956) (1,076) (1,183) (1,266)
Cost of Equipment Sold (755) (861) (969) (1,066) (1,140)
SG&A (1,804) (2,056) (2,313) (2,544) (2,723)
= Total OpEx (3,398) (3,874) (4,358) (4,794) (5,129)
4,509
2011 2012
736 788
190 204
66 71
993 1,062
473 506
187 200
91 98
751 803
242 259
22 17
4 5
2011 2012
675 753
421 601
64 64
1,159 1,419
380 418
167 174
64 65
611 656
548 763
156 214
1 2 3 4
Revenue Projections: 2008 2009 2010 2011
Service Revenue 4,194.3 4,781.5 5,379.2 5,917.2
Service Revenue Growth 14.0% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0%
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses 838.9 956.3 1,075.8 1,183.4
System Operating Exp./Service Revenue 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
(1) Based on a 360-day year. Days Payable, Deferred Service Revenue, and Days Accrued Liabilities are
based on total cash operating expenses.
(2) Includes investments in property, plant & equipment, as well as licenses and customer lists.
5 UFCF Projections 1 2
2012 Revenue Projections: 2008 2009
6,331.4 Service Revenue 4,194.3 4,781.5
7.0% Equipment Revenue 314.8 358.8
= Total Revenue 4,509.1 5,140.4
475.2
7.5% Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses (838.9) (956.3)
Cost of Equipment Sold (755.5) (861.2)
1,266.3 SG&A (1,803.6) (2,056.2)
20.0% = Total OpEx (3,398.0) (3,873.7)
154.36x 1 2
1.38% Tax Shield from Debt 2008 2009
35.54x Interest Payments 199.4 183.1
14.01x Tax Shield 79.8 73.2
6.85x
Tax Rate 40.00%
Cost of Debt 5.50%
15.5%
TV of UFCF Growth Rate Unlevered Return
CPI 4.10% 8.43%
CPI Less Food and Energy 2.40% 8.43%
GDP Growth Rate 1.80% 8.43%
RJR Approach
Tax Shield Terminal Value
Debt % of terminal value 30.85%
Perpetual D/V 27.5%
Implied D (2012) 1823.9830034218
TSTV 729.5932013687
TV UFCF + TSTV 6,642.0
D/implied EV 27.4613%
Total EV $ 6,162.52
3 4 5
2010 2011 2012 Working Capital Projections
5,379.2 5,917.2 6,331.4 Current Assets
403.7 444.1 475.2 Acounts Recievable
5,782.9 6,361.2 6,806.5 Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
= Total
(1,075.8) (1,183.4) (1,266.3)
(968.9) (1,065.8) (1,140.4) Current Liabilities
(2,313.2) (2,544.5) (2,722.6) Accounts Payable
(4,357.9) (4,793.7) (5,129.2) Deferred Revenue & Deposits
Accrued Liabilities
(867.4) (922.4) (952.9) = Total
3 4 5 Multiple Method
2010 2011 2012
165.8 147.5 128.3 Industry Average
66.3 59.0 51.3 TV by multiple (2012)
EV (2007)
0 57 24 24 22 17
Sensitivity Analysis
Growth Rate Unlevered Return UFCF 2012 Perpetual D/V Rate of Constant Debt TV (2012)
4.10% 8.43% 349.5 27.46% 2.200% 9770.8
2.40% 8.43% 349.5 27.46% 2.20% 6598.4
1.80% 8.43% 349.5 27.46% 2.20% 5906.3
4,382.9 6,113.3
Growth Rate Calculation
Return on Capital
NOPAT 270.6336
Equity (book) 3196.156
Debt 1002.293
6.4%
Reinvestment Rate
CapEx 548.517
+ Inv. In WC 134
- Depr 582.269
/ NOPAT 270.6336
36.9%
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses (839) (943) (1,050) (1,131) (1,190)
Cost of Equipment Sold (755) (861) (969) (1,066) (1,140)
SG&A (1,804) (2,056) (2,313) (2,544) (2,723)
= Total OpEx (3,398) (3,860) (4,332) (4,741) (5,053)
468 499
185 197 Wireless Business Subscribers 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
90 96
743 792 Average Monthly Subscribers (in MM's) 0.3 0.5 0.7 1 1.2
Average Monthly Minutes 859 885 911 939 967
315 351 Total Monthly Minutes 258 443 638 939 1160
47 36 Revenue Per Minute 0.0506 0.0506 0.0506 0.0506 0.0506
Annual Business Revenue Increase ($MM $ 156 $ 269 $ 387 $ 570 $ 704
1 2 3 4
Revenue Projections: 2008 2009 2010 2011
Service Revenue 4,194.3 4,781.5 5,379.2 5,917.2
Service Revenue Growth 14.0% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0%
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses 838.9 956.3 1,075.8 1,183.4
System Operating Exp./Service Revenue 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
(1) Based on a 360-day year. Days Payable, Deferred Service Revenue, and Days Accrued Liabilities are
based on total cash operating expenses.
(2) Includes investments in property, plant & equipment, as well as licenses and customer lists.
Synergies
Backhaul Costs 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Annual Business Revenue Increase ($MM $ 156 $ 269 $ 387 $ 570 $ 704
5 UFCF Projections 1 2
2012 Revenue Projections: 2008 2009
6,331.4 Service Revenue 4,350.8 5,050.2
7.0% Equipment Revenue 314.8 358.8
= Total Revenue 4,665.6 5,409.1
475.2
7.5% Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses (838.9) (942.9)
Cost of Equipment Sold (755.5) (861.2)
1,266.3 SG&A (1,803.6) (2,056.2)
20.0% = Total OpEx (3,398.0) (3,860.3)
154.36x 1 2
1.38% Tax Shield from Debt 2008 2009
35.54x Interest Payments 199.4 183.1
14.01x Tax Shield 79.8 73.2
6.85x
Tax Rate 40.00%
Cost of Debt 5.50%
15.5%
TV of UFCF Growth Rate Unlevered Return
CPI 4.10% 8.43%
CPI Less Food and Energy 2.40% 8.43%
GDP Growth Rate 1.80% 8.43%
RJR Approach
Tax Shield Terminal Value
Debt % of terminal value 30.85%
Perpetual D/V 27.5%
Implied D (2012) 4364.986706981
TSTV 1745.9946827924
TV UFCF + TSTV 15,895.1
D/implied EV 27.4613%
Total EV $ 13,412.67
3 4 5
2010 2011 2012 Working Capital Projections
5,766.4 6,487.3 7,035.4 Current Assets
403.7 444.1 475.2 Acounts Recievable
6,170.1 6,931.4 7,510.5 Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
= Total
(1,050.0) (1,130.9) (1,190.3)
(968.9) (1,065.8) (1,140.4) Current Liabilities
(2,313.2) (2,544.5) (2,722.6) Accounts Payable
(4,332.1) (4,741.1) (5,053.3) Deferred Revenue & Deposits
Accrued Liabilities
(867.4) (922.4) (952.9) = Total
3 4 5 Multiple Method
2010 2011 2012
165.8 147.5 128.3 Industry Average
66.3 59.0 51.3 TV by multiple (2012)
EV (2007)
75 39 40 47 36
Sensitivity Analysis
Growth Rate Unlevered Return UFCF 2012 Perpetual D/V Rate of Constant Debt TV (2012)
4.10% 8.43% 836.3 27.46% 2.200% 23382.5
2.40% 8.43% 836.3 27.46% 2.20% 15790.6
1.80% 8.43% 836.3 27.46% 2.20% 14134.3
10,488.7 13,295.0
1 2 3 4 5
Revenue Projections: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Service Revenue 4,194.3 4,781.5 5,379.2 5,917.2 6,331.4
Service Revenue Growth 14.0% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0% 7.0%
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses 838.9 956.3 1,075.8 1,183.4 1,266.3
System Operating Exp./Service Revenue 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
(1) Based on a 360-day year. Days Payable, Deferred Service Revenue, and Days Accrued Liabilities are
based on total cash operating expenses.
(2) Includes investments in property, plant & equipment, as well as licenses and customer lists.
UFCF Projections 1 2 3
Revenue Projections: 2008 2009 2010
Service Revenue 4,194.3 4,781.5 5,379.2
Equipment Revenue 314.8 358.8 403.7
= Total Revenue 4,509.1 5,140.4 5,782.9
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses (838.9) (956.3) (1,075.8)
Cost of Equipment Sold (755.5) (861.2) (968.9)
SG&A (1,803.6) (2,056.2) (2,313.2)
= Total OpEx (3,398.0) (3,873.7) (4,357.9)
WACC 7.50%
EV
7,968.8
5,654.0
5,166.5
5,632.7
1 2 3 4 5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
57 24 24 22 17
AIRTHREAD ACQUISITION Amortization Sch
Term Loan Amortization
Operating Assumptions
Revenue Projections: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Service Revenue 4,194.3 4,781.5 5,379.2 5,917.2 6,331.4
Service Revenue Growth 14.0% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0% 7.0%
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses 838.9 956.3 1,075.8 1,183.4 1,266.3
System Operating Exp./Service Revenue 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
(1) Based on a 360-day year. Days Payable, Deferred Service Revenue, and Days Accrued Liabilities are
based on total cash operating expenses.
(2) Includes investments in property, plant & equipment, as well as licenses and customer lists.
Operating Assumptions
Harvard Business Publishing
AIRTHREAD ACQUISITION
Historical Operating Results