Study Id109242 Space-Tourism
Study Id109242 Space-Tourism
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From national to commercial: The evolution of space tourism
Executive summary
Human space exploration first began during the Cold War between the The commercialization of space tourism means that, in theory, anyone
United States and the Soviet Union in the mid-20th century. This can travel to space. Although, in reality, this is not quite the case yet.
competition between nations to achieve superior spaceflight capability The market is still young and in a developmental stage. Current costs for
became known as the space race. space tourists are extortionately high. Therefore, present-day
consumers are predominantly high-net-worth individuals.
In the following years, space research and the exploration of space was
dominated by government organizations. The two biggest players – and The hope for the market is that this will change in the future, making
fierce competitors – were NASA and Roscosmos, the federal space space travel as simple and affordable as air travel is today. However,
agencies of the United States and Russia, respectively. estimates for when this will be the case vary, with some saying it will
take decades, while others say it could happen in just ten years.
These days, the space travel landscape looks a little different. While
government organizations remain an integral part of the process, In 2021, investment bank UBS raised its growth forecast for the space
commercial space tourism companies founded in the early 2000s have tourism industry, saying the market will be worth four billion U.S. dollars
reignited the idea of space exploration and recaptured the public’s by 2030 – up from an initial expectation of three billion U.S. dollars in its
imagination. These companies are taking risks and creating new 2019 report. This readjustment underlines the rising confidence in the
opportunities that push the boundaries of what is possible. Here are industry.
three of the most well-known companies:
However, as it stands, the space tourism market is largely aspirational.
▪ Elon Musk’s SpaceX The fascination with space exploration has attracted investment and
public interest, but whether this market will blast off remains to be
▪ Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic
seen.
▪ Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin
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“ To confine our attention to terrestrial matters
would be to limit the human spirit.
―
„
Stephen Hawking
(Theoretical physicist, cosmologist, and author)
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01 What is space tourism?
▪ Types of space tourism
▪ Evolution of space tourism
▪ Safety and regulations
What exactly is space tourism?
Space tourism is still in its early days. While the first recorded civilian When thinking about commercial spaceflight, the destination may seem
spaceflight was back in the 1980s, civilian trips to the cosmos have been obvious: space. However, there are actually a few different types of
few and far between and are far outnumbered by missions involving space trips that travelers can take. This chapter covers the basics of
professional astronauts. As it stands, space tourism as a product still space tourism, exploring all forms of spaceflight, key events in the
needs refining. history of space tourism, the safety of the developing industry, and the
level of interest among consumers.
The simple definition of space tourism is human spaceflight for
recreational purposes. This process is currently extremely expensive
and time-consuming. As a result, travelers are required to pay
exorbitant prices to take a trip to space. Here are some of the estimated
costs travelers will pay per seat to travel to space (more details can be
found on page 23):
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The different types of space tourism
SPACE
ATMOSPHERE
Orbital space tourism Suborbital space tourism Lunar space tourism Mars space tourism Space hotels could
consists of a spaceflight in consists of a spaceflight in consists of trips to the consists of trips to be found floating in
which a spacecraft is placed which a spacecraft reaches moon. This could include Mars. This type of space or on the
on a trajectory where it outer space, but its flyby in a circumlunar tourism is not surface of a moon
could remain in space for at trajectory intersects the trajectory, lunar orbit, or possible yet but is an or planet. This is not
least one orbit. atmosphere or surface of lunar landing. This type of aim for the future. possible yet, but
the gravitating body from tourism remains largely plans are underway.
which it was launched so aspirational.
that it will not complete one
orbital revolution or reach
escape velocity.
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Space tourism: Important events so far
The first flight opportunity provided under The first official space tourist was American
this new initiative was NASA’s Teacher in multimillionaire Dennis Tito. In collaboration
Space Project, announced in 1984. Teacher with space tourism company Space Adventures,
Christa McAuliffe was selected as NASA’s first Tito joined the Roscosmos Soyuz TM-32
spaceflight participant, traveling aboard the The partnership between Space Adventures mission, which launched and docked with the
space shuttle Challenger. and Roscosmos took seven tourists on eight ISS on April 28, 2001. Tito spent seven days, 22
trips to the International Space Station (ISS) hours, and four minutes in space and orbited
between 2001 and 2009. This collaboration the Earth 128 times. He paid an estimated 20
highlights the evolution of space tourism million U.S. dollars for this trip.
during the 2000s. The Russian federal space
agency Roscosmos provided the crew and
the spacecraft, while the American space
tourism company Space Adventures
coordinated the trips.
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How much do the public really care about going to space?
Would you travel to space if money were Would you travel to the moon if money Americans are cautious about space travel
not an issue? were not an issue?
While there are definitely those who have the
desire to travel to space, does this reflect the
majority of the public?
No answer
1) Note(s): United States; September 14 to 21, 2021; 2,050 respondents; 18 years and older 2) Note(s): United States; December 14 to 20, 2021; 2,602 respondents; 18 years and older
9 Source(s): Qualtrics; ValuePenguin; ID 1293150 Source(s): Axios; Momentive; SurveyMonkey; ID 1295080
Women are less interested in space travel than men
If money were not an issue, would you want to go to the moon If money were not an issue, would you ever want to
as a tourist? travel to space?
Yes No
29%
68%
1) Note(s): United States; December 14 to 20, 2021; 2,602 respondents; 18 years and older 2) Note(s): United States; September 14 to 21, 2021; 2,050 respondents; 18 years and older
10 Source(s): Axios; Momentive; SurveyMonkey; ID 1295105 Source(s): Qualtrics; ValuePenguin; ID 1293155
Space: The most dangerous holiday destination?
Space tourism is a developing industry that depends on new As a result of these risks, space tourists will not only have to be able to
technologies, which means it is still navigating health and safety fund their trips but also be extensively medically evaluated and trained
protocols. In comparison to commercial aviation flights, commercial before participating. In addition, spaceflights can also be dangerous
spaceflights have the potential to be far more dangerous. A 2021 NASA due to unforeseen technical issues.
study highlighted the main negative effects on the human body that
can be caused by spaceflight, as shown in the table below.
Issues Risks
Radiation Degenerative diseases, radiation sickness, cancer, changes in the central nervous system
Distance from Earth Ineffective medications, food storage challenges, lack of medical care, equipment failure
Gravity Reduced muscle mass, bone loss, fluid shifts, changes in sensorimotor skills
Environment Altered immune system, celestial dust exposure, temperature changes, exposure to contaminants
Gregory Jarvis
Christa McAuliffe
Ronald McNair
Launch booster failure, vehicle disintegration during launch –
Ellison Onizuka United States STS-51-L January 28, 1986
space shuttle Challenger disaster
Judith Resnik
Michael J. Smith
Dick Scobee
Rick D. Husband
William C. McCool
Michael P. Anderson
David M. Brown United States Vehicle disintegration on re-entry – space
STS-107 February 1, 2003
Kalpana Chawla shuttle Columbia disaster
Laurel Clark
Note(s): As of March 2022; the Kármán line is an attempt to define a boundary between Earth’s atmosphere and outer space; the Kármán line was defined by the Fédération Aéronautique
12 Internationale (FAI); the FAI defines the Kármán line as space beginning 100 kilometers (54 nautical miles; 62 miles; 330,000 feet) above Earth’s mean sea level
Space tourism’s lack of regulations: Innovative or dangerous?
A closer look at the regulations in place for space tourism
When speaking of the dangers of space tourism, it is also important to The FAA continues:
look at the regulations and legislations that govern this industry. This
▪ “Federal law requires an informed consent framework, so flight crew
page focuses on the regulations in the United States as that is where
and spaceflight participants are fully aware of the risks and hazards
the three leading commercial space tourism companies – SpaceX, Virgin
involved in human spaceflight launch and reentry operations.”
Galactic, and Blue Origin – are based (more information on these
companies will come in the next chapter). The FAA also states the limitations of its regulatory oversight:
Currently, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is responsible for ▪ “Congress has limited the FAA’s authority in specific ways. Under
the regulatory oversight of the commercial human spaceflight industry. federal law, the FAA is prohibited from regulating the safety of
The FAA describes its role as follows: individuals on board. This legislative ‘moratorium,’ originally
established in 2004, and extended three times by Congress, expires
▪ “The FAA’s safety oversight responsibilities are designed to protect
in October 2023.”
the safety of the public on the ground and others using the National
Airspace System. Congress has both given and restricted the FAA’s Representatives from the space tourism industry lobbied hard against
authority. The FAA issues commercial space licenses, verifies launch early regulations, arguing they would stifle innovation. This led Congress
or reentry vehicles meant to carry humans operate as intended and to impose a moratorium on the FAA regulating the commercial human
provides regulation of flight crew qualifications and training. The FAA spaceflight industry until October 1, 2023.
also performs safety inspections and safely integrates commercial
space operations into the National Airspace System.”
In recent times, space tourism has been dominated by billionaires. The However, these private companies have faced criticism as some think
most well-known are Elon Musk (SpaceX), Jeff Bezos (Blue Origin), and that they are founded by billionaires for billionaires. Elon Musk
Richard Branson (Virgin Galactic), all of whom founded space companies defended his SpaceX company, saying it is necessary for “establishing
with the intention of commercializing and furthering space exploration. security for life itself and having an exciting future and inspiring kids
This includes projects such as space tourism, mining for resources in about the future.”
outer space, and even the colonization of Mars.
Musk also acknowledged another concern of the public, that money
Nowadays, civilian space travel is a more collaborative process. While should go toward problems on Earth, not in space. “I completely agree
these new commercial companies may seem at the forefront of space that the vast majority of resources should be dedicated to solving
tourism and have renewed the public’s interest in space travel, problems on Earth,” he said, but “maybe half a percent” should be
government organizations are still an important piece of the puzzle. dedicated to space.
NASA’s Commercial Crew Program, announced in 2019, aimed to offer As it stands, many remain uncertain as to whether commercial space
“safe, reliable, and cost-effective human transportation to and from the travel is an admirable pursuit or just “rich boys and their toys,” as put to
International Space Station from the United States through a [Link] by Eric Berger, author and senior space editor at technology
partnership with American private industry.” publication Ars Technica.
Should space travel be accessible to Should billionaires spend money on Space tourism is still too inaccessible
everyone, not just those who can afford it? space travel?
Space travel used to be strongly associated
with government organizations like NASA,
Yes, it's their money and they
No, they should spend this can decide how to use it but these days it is hard to deny the
money on something else industry’s link with the super-wealthy.
When surveyed in September 2021, a
majority of U.S. adults said that space
travel should be accessible to everyone,
not just those who can afford its high
No prices.
40% 41%
While the American public felt space travel
should be more accessible, a similar share
60% 59%
of respondents stated that billionaires
Yes should be able to spend money on space
travel as it is their money, and they can
decide how to use it. Ultimately, Americans
appear more concerned about the high
price of space travel than the billionaires
that are funding it.
Note(s): United States; September 14 to 21, 2021; 2,050 respondents; 18 years and older
16 Source(s): Qualtrics; ValuePenguin; ID 1293293; ID 1293294
Identifying the leading space tourism companies
Blue Origin It is not difficult to find the key players in the space
Space Perspective Space Adventures tourism industry. However, what is difficult is compiling a
definitive ranking based on the companies’ financial
success. Here are some of the reasons for this:
NOLS
The next company to complete a trip to space was Blue Origin Another trip was taken by Blue Origin’s New Shepard on
on July 20, 2021, which similarly took owner Jeff Bezos aboard October 12, 2021. On board was, again, Jeff Bezos, his
the flight. The company’s New Shepard rocket took a brother Mark Bezos, and “Star Trek” actor William Shatner.
suborbital flight past the Kármán line. At 107 kilometers, the Joining them was 18-year-old Oliver Daemen, who secured a
flight may have been higher than Virgin Galactic’s, but it only seat in an auction, making him Blue Origin’s first paying
lasted 11 minutes. customer. Initially, this seat was won by Justin Sun for 28
million U.S. dollars, but he decided to take a future flight
instead. The proceeds of the auction went to Bezos’ space-
focused nonprofit foundation, Club for the Future.
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SpaceX proves to be a fan favorite in the new space race
U.S. public opinion on which space companies are leading the private sector’s push into space in 2021
SpaceX Blue Origin Virgin Galactic Boeing Other No answer Which company is the public backing?
100%
While Blue Origin achieved two spaceflights
in 2021, SpaceX was the company that the
90%
American public believed to be leading the
80% private sector’s push into space. SpaceX held
a majority across all generations, but the
70% share decreased with age.
Share of respondents
Note(s): United States; December 14 to 20, 2021; 2,602 respondents; 18 years and older
20 Source(s): Axios; Momentive; SurveyMonkey; ID 1295151
03 Market and outlook
▪ The price of space tourism
▪ Current market figures
▪ Market outlook
Space tourism is still in its innovation stage
What does the space tourism market look like right now?
The space tourism market is still in its early stages, and whether it can In order to turn space tourism into a product for the masses, the prices
generate enough turnover to make a profit remains to be seen. will need to go down. For example, airplane flights were once a luxury
but are now accessible to many. The alternative is to make the product
As it stands, it is a luxury market. The price of a seat is the main barrier
more appealing to those who can afford its luxury cost.
to customer adoption, with only ultra-high-net-worth individuals being
able to afford the costs. However, just because these consumers can This chapter will give further details on the prices, investment, revenue,
afford it does not necessarily mean they want to take part. and the outlook of space tourism.
Pros: Cons:
▪ To experience adventure ▪ Physical and mental health risks
▪ To experience something unique ▪ Significant personal time commitment due to training
▪ To see the Earth from space ▪ Uncomfortable experience (travel sickness, confined quarters, etc.)
▪ Contributing to technological development ▪ Better products may be available in the future, so why not wait?
▪ Its exclusive nature makes it a status symbol ▪ Negative impact on the environment
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Prices to travel to space remain out of this world
Space tourism is a luxury market
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SpaceX has received the most external funding so far
External funding received by SpaceX, Blue Origin, and Virgin Galactic
Note(s): Worldwide
24 Source(s): CB Information Services Inc.
Most popular types of space companies among investors
Distribution of equity investments in space companies between 2012 and 2021
Investment in billion U.S. dollars What do these different companies specialize in?
515
500 605 million U.S. dollars in 2029.
500 475 470
460 455
As mentioned previously, Space
400 Adventures has been working with
400 385
Roscosmos since the early 2000s,
achieving successful orbital space
tourism trips. Other orbital space tourism
300
projects include a partnership between
SpaceX and Axiom Space and a
200 collaboration between NASA and Boeing.
100
0
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
▪ An influx of capital
Space tourism has many things working in its favor, from its billionaire scorn for being an elitist pastime. On the other hand, space tourism
backers to humanity’s inherent fascination with the mystery that is could advance to the point where it is available to the masses, in which
space. However, it still has a way to go before it becomes a well- case it might be met with widespread disapproval due to its potential
established market. environmental impact.
Right now, space tourism companies are in a stage of innovation, with While the road – or rather the flight path – ahead may not be so simple,
limited regulations allowing for greater creative freedom. There are it seems that space tourism’s galactic journey has only just begun.
many ideas being developed and tested, such as reusable rockets, more
environmentally friendly fuels, the exploration of Mars, and more.
Regardless of how space tourism evolves, time will tell whether the
market is able to advance technologically and generate enough
consumer interest in order to become sustainable.
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Glossary
International Space Station (ISS) Mars space tourism Spaceflight participant
A modular space station in low Earth orbit. It Tourism to Mars. This type of tourism is not The term used by NASA, Roscosmos, and the
is a multinational collaborative project possible yet but is an aim for the future. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for
involving five participating space agencies: people who travel into space but are not
NASA (United States), Roscosmos (Russia), National Aeronautics and Space professional astronauts.
JAXA (Japan), ESA (Europe), and CSA (Canada). Administration (NASA)
An independent agency of the U.S. federal Suborbital space tourism
Kármán line government responsible for the civilian space A spaceflight in which the spacecraft reaches
An attempt to define a boundary between program, as well as aeronautics and space outer space, but its trajectory intersects the
Earth’s atmosphere and outer space, the research. atmosphere or surface of the gravitating
Kármán line was defined by the Fédération body from which it was launched so that it
Aéronautique Internationale (FAI). The FAI Orbital space tourism will not complete one orbital revolution or
defines the Kármán line as space beginning A spaceflight in which a spacecraft is placed reach escape velocity.
100 kilometers (54 nautical miles; 62 miles; on a trajectory where it could remain in
330,000 feet) above Earth’s mean sea level. space for at least one orbit. Terrestrial space tourism
Earth-based space tourism. This includes
Lunar space tourism Roscosmos activities such as stargazing, space museums,
Tourism to the moon. This could include A state corporation of the Russian Federation observatories, and even trips to see auroras.
flyby in a circumlunar trajectory, lunar orbit, responsible for spaceflights, cosmonautics
or lunar landing. This type of tourism programs, and aerospace research.
remains largely aspirational.
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Sources
Axios Qualtrics
Forbes SurveyMonkey
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SOPHIE LOCK
Senior researcher
Sophie Lock is a Statista research expert for the travel,
tourism, hospitality, and recreation industries.
E-MAIL [Link]@[Link]
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