希臘國債危機:修订间差异

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{{update|time=2015-06-29}}
{{Greek economic crisis}}
[[File:Long-term interest rates (eurozone).png|left|thumb|alt=與鄰近地區相比的長期貸款利率]]
[[File:Greece public debt 1999-2010.svg|350px250px|thumb|left|從1999年起希臘債務百分率,比(對比歐元區平均值]]
'''希臘國債危機''',又稱'''希臘債務危機''',是現時[[歐洲主權債務危機]]之一。
 
自2009年末開始,因為希臘[[國債]]水平增長強勁,[[投資者]]紛紛關注希臘償還債務的能力,主權債務危機的恐懼正逐漸醞釀。<ref>{{cite journal |last1= Higgins |first1= Matthew |last2= Klitgaard |first2= Thomas |year= 2011 |title= Saving Imbalances and the Euro Area Sovereign Debt Crisis |url= http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci17-5.pdf |journal= Current Issues in Economics and Finance |volume= 17 |issue= 5 |publisher= Federal Reserve Bank of New York |accessdate= 2012-04-05 |archive-date= 2015-07-06 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150706075101/http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci17-5.pdf April|dead-url= 2012no }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url= http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE61F0W720100216 |title= Peripheral euro zone government bond spreads widen |agency=Reuters |author=George Matlock |date=2010-02-16 February 2010 |accessdate=2010-04-28 April|archive-date=2019-12-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191214170357/http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE61F0W720100216 |dead-url=no 2010}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url = http://www.economist.com/node/16009099 | title = Acropolis now | work = The Economist | date = 2010-04-29 April 2010 |accessdate = 2011-06-22 June|archive-date = 2017-10-20 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20171020165642/http://www.economist.com/node/16009099 |dead-url = no 2011}}</ref>由[[債券]][[息差]]擴大和[[信貸違約掉期]]的風險保險成本(對比其他[[歐元區]]國家,尤其是德國)表明,這導致信心危機。<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.financialmirror.com/News/Cyprus_and_World_News/20151 |title=Greek/German bond yield spread more than 1,000 bps |publisher=Financialmirror.com |date=2010-04-28 April 2010 |accessdate=5 May 2010}}{{dead-05-05 link|archive-date=May2020-06-01 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200601011441/http://www.financialmirror.com/News/Cyprus_and_World_News/20151 |dead-url=yes 2012}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7d25573c-1ccc-11df-8d8e-00144feab49a.html |title=Gilt yields rise amid UK debt concerns |work=Financial Times |date=2010-02-18 February|accessdate=2011-04-15 2010|archive-date=2012-02-14 |archive-url=https://www.webcitation.org/65RPJVlc9?url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/7d25573c-1ccc-11df-8d8e-00144feab49a,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=https%3A%2F%2Flinproxy.fan.workers.dev%3A443%2Fhttp%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F7d25573c-1ccc-11df-8d8e-00144feab49a.html |dead-url=no }}</ref>全球三大信用评级机构下调希腊主权信用评级。<ref name=央視>{{cite news |title=希腊宣布正式退出欧盟“强化监管”机制 |url=https://www.163.com/dy/article/HFAFGF110519814N.html?f=post2020_dy_recommends |accessdate=152022-08-21 April|archive-date=2022-08-21 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220821114601/https://www.163.com/dy/article/HFAFGF110519814N.html?f=post2020_dy_recommends |dead-url=no 2011}}</ref>
 
希臘國債在2010年4月被降級至[[垃圾債券]]評級,敲起金融市場的警鐘。2010年5月2日,歐元區國家和[[國際貨幣基金組織]]同意向希臘提供11001,100億歐元紓困貸款,條件是實行[[緊縮]]措施。同時欧盟对希腊启动了强化监管机制,歐盟將每季度审查、评估希腊政府是否按照债权方的要求严格控制财政支出<ref name=央視/>。2011年10月,歐元區領袖同意提供第二輪13001,300億歐元紓困貸款,條件是不單只要實行另一套緊縮方案,更要所有私人債權人同意希臘債務重組,將債務負擔由預計2012年佔GDP 198%降至2020年前佔GDP 121%。
 
最後一個條件——即是成功重組所有希臘國債——達成之後,第二輪紓困協議最終在2012年2月獲得所有黨派批准,一個月之後生效。最新的紓困計劃是要涵蓋由2012-2014年所有希臘金融需要。如果希臘能設法遵守所有紓困計劃裡列出的經濟指標,將可於2015年再次使用私人資本市場以涵蓋未來金融需要
 
2012年5月中,危機和大選之後希臘無望組成新的聯合政府,導致強烈各界猜測希臘將不得不退出歐元區。潛在的退出成為「[[:en:Grexit|Grexit]]」一語和開始影響國際市場行為
 
2015年1月25日,希臘國會大選,激進左派聯盟(Syriza)擊敗保守新民主黨(New Democracy Party),以逾36%得票率贏得勝選,成為歐洲第一個公開反對撙節政策而當選執政的政黨。激進左派聯盟要求與歐洲聯盟(EU)、歐洲中央銀行(ECB)和國際貨幣基金(IMF)重新談判高達2,400億歐元(約-{zh-cn:[[人民币]]16,500亿元; zh-hk:[[港幣]]2.1兆元; zh-tw:[[新台幣]]8.7兆元}-)的希臘紓困案,並削減希臘部分的沉重外債。
== 註釋 ==
 
{{reflist}}
2015年6月30日,希腊成为第一个未能准时偿还[[国际货币基金组织]]贷款的发达国家。貸款到期後拖延了20天才還清。<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.ctvnews.ca/business/greece-fails-to-make-imf-payment-as-bailout-expires-1.2446852|title=Greece fails to make IMF payment as bailout expires|work=CTVNews|first1=Elena|last1=Becatoros|first2=Raf|last2=Casert|date=30 June 2015|access-date=3 July 2015|archive-date=2020-12-11|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201211222632/https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/greece-fails-to-make-imf-payment-as-bailout-expires-1.2446852|dead-url=no}}</ref>7月5日,希臘就是否接受國際債權人救助方案舉行[[2015年希臘紓困公投]],結果反對方逾六成,方案被否決。7月13日,欧元区领导人就第三次援助计划达成了临时协议。<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.ekathimerini.com/201639/article/ekathimerini/business/investor-paul-kazarian-returns-with-campaign-for-five-star-finance-minister|title=Investor Paul Kazarian returns with campaign for 'five-star' finance minister|first=Ilias|last=Bellos|work=Kathimerini|access-date=21 May 2020|date=17 September 2015|archive-date=2020-08-11|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200811014532/https://www.ekathimerini.com/201639/article/ekathimerini/business/investor-paul-kazarian-returns-with-campaign-for-five-star-finance-minister|dead-url=no}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://greece.greekreporter.com/2016/12/10/greece-largest-private-debt-owner-says-greek-debt-is-much-lower-than-we-think-video/|title=Greece's Largest Private Debt Owner Says Greek Debt Is Much Lower Than We Think|website=GreekReporter.com|last=Chrysopoulos|first=Philip|access-date=21 May 2020|date=10 December 2016|archive-date=2020-08-15|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200815085119/https://greece.greekreporter.com/2016/12/10/greece-largest-private-debt-owner-says-greek-debt-is-much-lower-than-we-think-video/|dead-url=no}}</ref>
 
2017年7月13日,希腊政府向国际货币基金组织承诺在2018年6月之前修改劳动法以及减少社会保障支出。<ref>{{cite web|url=http://english.capital.gr/News.asp?id=2436103|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170713100604/http://english.capital.gr/News.asp?id=2436103|url-status=dead|archive-date=2017-07-13|title=Greece reiterates pledge to IMF to implement 21 prior actions by June 2018|last=Capital.gr}}</ref>
 
2018年6月21日,希腊债权人同意将價值966亿的欧元贷款的歸還日期延长10年。<ref name="Greece Debt deal 2018">{{cite news |url= https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-21/greece-s-creditors-agree-landmark-debt-deal-as-bailout-saga-ends |title= Greece's Creditors Agree to Landmark Debt Deal as Bailout Saga Ends |work= Bloomberg |date= 22 June 2018 |access-date= 31 August 2018 |archive-date= 2018-08-16 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180816211149/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-21/greece-s-creditors-agree-landmark-debt-deal-as-bailout-saga-ends |dead-url= no }}</ref>8月20日,希臘退出救助计划。<ref name="Bailout exit">{{cite news |url= https://www.reuters.com/article/us-eurozone-greece-bailout/greece-exits-final-bailout-successfully-esm-idUSKCN1L40OG |title= Greece exits final bailout successfully: ESM |work= Reuters |date= 20 August 2018 |access-date= 31 August 2018 |archive-date= 2018-08-31 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180831081000/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-eurozone-greece-bailout/greece-exits-final-bailout-successfully-esm-idUSKCN1L40OG |dead-url= no }}</ref>
 
2022年8月10日,[[欧盟委员会]]宣布,希腊政府已兑现大部分政策承诺,因此决定于8月20日正式结束对希腊财政的强化监管机制。<ref name=央視/>
== 文献 ==
=== 註釋引用 ===
{{Reflist}}
 
=== 来源 ===
* Ronald Janssen, 'Greece and the IMF:Who Exactly is Being Saved?' (July 2010) [http://www.scribd.com/doc/34895662/Greece-and-the-IMF-Who-Exactly-is-Being-Saved CEPR] {{Wayback|url=http://www.scribd.com/doc/34895662/Greece-and-the-IMF-Who-Exactly-is-Being-Saved |date=20160305164209 }}
 
{{希腊主题}}
{{financial crises}}
 
== 參考 ==
*Ronald Janssen, 'Greece and the IMF:Who Exactly is Being Saved?' (July 2010) [http://www.scribd.com/doc/34895662/Greece-and-the-IMF-Who-Exactly-is-Being-Saved CEPR]
{{2008 economic crisis}}
[[Category:希臘國債危機| ]]
[[Category:21世纪欧經濟|Greece经济]]
[[Category:金融危機]]
[[Category:政府財政]]
[[Category:希臘債務]]
 
[[ar:أزمة الدين الحكومي اليوناني]]
[[bg:Финансова криза в Гърция]]
[[ca:Crisi financera del 2010 a Grècia]]
[[cs:Dluhová krize v Řecku]]
[[da:Grækenlands gældskrise (2010-2012)]]
[[de:Griechische Finanzkrise]]
[[el:Ελληνική κρίση χρέους 2010-2012]]
[[en:Greek government-debt crisis]]
[[eo:Krizo de la greka publika ŝuldo]]
[[es:Crisis financiera en Grecia de 2010-2012]]
[[fr:Crise de la dette publique grecque]]
[[he:משבר החוב של יוון]]
[[it:Crisi economica della Grecia]]
[[ms:Krisis hutang kerajaan Greece]]
[[pt:Crise financeira da Grécia]]
[[ru:Долговой кризис в Греции]]
[[sq:Kriza ekonomike e Greqisë]]
[[sv:Greklands skuldkris]]
[[tr:Yunan hükümeti borç krizi]]