GoldDerby

Best Film Drama Editing Conclave 3/2 ▲

Best Film Comedy Musical Editing Anora 83/50 ▲

Best Film Animation Editing The Wild Robot 27/20 ▲

Best Film Documentary Editing Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story 19/10 ▲

Best TV Drama Editing Shogun 11/8 ▲

Best TV Comedy (Single Camera) Editing The Bear 8/5 ▲

Best TV Comedy (Multi-Camera) Editing Frasier 18/25 ▲

Best Limited Series Editing Baby Reindeer 46/25 ▲

Best Variety Series or Special Last Week Tonight with John Oliver 1/1 ▲

Award Shows

TV Shows

Predicted Winners - Tony Awards Nominations 2025

HUB

BY

Date

Best Musical

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Death Becomes Her

584

352

51/20
2

Maybe Happy Ending

555

156

59/20
3

Operation Mincemeat

554

50

9/2
4

Dead Outlaw

294

28

8/1
5

Buena Vista Social Club

447

8

14/1
6

BOOP! The Musical

288

9

18/1
7

Smash

123

1

48/1
8

Redwood

29

0

68/1
9

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

35

2

100/1
10

Swept Away

18

0

100/1
11

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

19

1

100/1
12

Tammy Faye

21

1

100/1
13

A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical

14

0

100/1
14

Just in Time

15

0

100/1

Best Play

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Oh, Mary!

584

510

9/5
2

The Hills of California

538

25

18/5
3

English

319

13

8/1
4

Good Night, and Good Luck

493

25

17/2
5

John Proctor is the Villain

390

1

13/1
6

Purpose

132

7

15/1
7

The Picture of Dorian Gray

149

7

37/1
8

McNeal

207

0

46/1
9

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

59

6

56/1
10

Cult of Love

27

0

100/1
11

JOB

21

1

100/1
12

All In: Comedy About Love

12

1

100/1
13

The Roommate

11

1

100/1
14

Left on Tenth

7

1

100/1

Best Musical Revival

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Gypsy

583

389

15/8
2

Sunset Blvd.

588

190

23/10
3

Floyd Collins

277

7

7/1
4

The Last Five Years

365

1

19/2
5

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

159

2

13/1
6

Once Upon a Mattress

359

5

16/1
7

Elf

21

3

100/1

Best Play Revival

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Othello

552

389

13/5
2

Glengarry Glen Ross

557

115

29/10
3

Eureka Day

490

47

9/2
4

Our Town

404

12

6/1
5

Yellow Face

179

11

9/1
6

Romeo + Juliet

154

21

25/1
7

Home

14

2

100/1

Best Actress (Musical)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Audra McDonald

Gypsy

591

404

39/20
2

Nicole Scherzinger

Sunset Blvd.

590

168

31/10
3

Megan Hilty

Death Becomes Her

566

12

11/2
4

Jennifer Simard

Death Becomes Her

447

5

7/1
5

Sutton Foster

Once Upon a Mattress

303

6

25/1
6

Helen J Shen

Maybe Happy Ending

177

8

30/1
7

Jasmine Amy Rogers

BOOP! The Musical

158

3

33/1
8

Idina Menzel

Redwood

114

5

58/1
9

Jinkx Monsoon

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

31

1

100/1
10

Robyn Hurder

Smash

14

0

100/1
11

Tatiana Cordoba

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

5

0

100/1
12

Katie Brayben

Tammy Faye

14

1

100/1
13

Adrienne Warren

The Last Five Years

17

1

100/1

Best Actor (Musical)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Darren Criss

Maybe Happy Ending

572

428

14/5
2

Tom Francis

Sunset Blvd.

548

60

4/1
3

Jeremy Jordan

Floyd Collins

541

52

5/1
4

Jonathan Groff

Just in Time

524

25

11/2
5

Andrew Durand

Dead Outlaw

269

16

15/2
6

Ramin Karimloo

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

292

3

20/1
7

James Monroe Iglehart

A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical

76

6

46/1
8

John Gallagher Jr.

Swept Away

24

0

100/1
9

Grey Henson

Elf

11

0

100/1
10

David Hyde Pierce

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

53

5

100/1
11

Jeb Brown

Dead Outlaw

18

1

100/1
12

Nick Jonas

The Last Five Years

23

2

100/1

Best Actress (Play)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sarah Snook

The Picture of Dorian Gray

581

522

9/5
2

Laura Donnelly

The Hills of California

534

36

51/20
3

Mia Farrow

The Roommate

454

13

8/1
4

Sadie Sink

John Proctor is the Villain

220

7

9/1
5

Patti LuPone

The Roommate

170

8

16/1
6

Sydney Lemmon

JOB

235

2

18/1
7

Julianna Margulies

Left on Tenth

26

1

42/1
8

Rachel Zegler

Romeo + Juliet

139

13

50/1

Best Actor (Play)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Cole Escola

Oh, Mary!

558

494

8/5
2

George Clooney

Good Night, and Good Luck

518

46

11/2
3

Denzel Washington

Othello

513

17

7/1
4

Daniel Dae Kim

Yellow Face

470

10

17/2
5

Jake Gyllenhaal

Othello

194

7

15/1
6

Jim Parsons

Our Town

349

6

16/1
7

Kit Connor

Romeo + Juliet

108

5

25/1
8

Jon Michael Hill

Purpose

34

1

28/1
9

Louis McCartney

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

14

0

44/1
10

Peter Friedman

JOB

80

0

100/1
11

Robert Downey Jr.

McNeal

39

3

100/1
12

Peter Gallagher

Left on Tenth

8

0

100/1
13

Tory Kittles

Home

2

0

100/1

Best Featured Actress (Musical)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Joy Woods

Gypsy

533

432

41/20
2

Natalie Venetia Belcon

Buena Vista Social Club

488

39

9/2
3

Michelle Williams

Death Becomes Her

455

40

13/2
4

Natasha Hodgson

Operation Mincemeat

240

19

11/1
5

Bernadette Peters

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

168

11

14/1
6

Ana Gasteyer

Once Upon a Mattress

321

8

25/1
7

Justina Machado

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

255

1

33/1
8

Grace Hodgett Young

Sunset Blvd.

145

9

35/1
9

Caroline Bowman

Smash

23

0

37/1
10

Lesli Margherita

Gypsy

24

1

46/1
11

Krysta Rodriguez

Smash

10

0

52/1
12

Khaila Wilcoxon

Redwood

9

1

54/1
13

Lea Salonga

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

25

1

100/1
14

Nikki Renee Daniels

Once Upon a Mattress

5

0

100/1
15

Jordan Tyson

Gypsy

22

2

100/1
16

Beth Leavel

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

6

2

100/1
17

Julia Knitel

Dead Outlaw

24

1

100/1
18

Lizzy McAlpine

Floyd Collins

26

3

100/1
19

Samantha Williams

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

4

0

100/1
20

Faith Prince

BOOP! The Musical

8

2

100/1
21

Michele Pawk

Just in Time

5

2

100/1
22

Erika Henningsen

Just in Time

8

0

100/1
23

De'Adre Aziza

Redwood

3

1

100/1
24

Kristine Nielsen

Smash

4

0

100/1
25

Ashley Brown

Elf

2

0

100/1
26

Claire-Marie Hall

Operation Mincemeat

4

0

100/1
27

Jessica Molaskey

Floyd Collins

4

0

100/1
28

Isa Antonetti

Buena Vista Social Club

1

0

100/1
29

Florencia Cuenca

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

1

0

100/1

Best Featured Actor (Musical)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Danny Burstein

Gypsy

525

407

41/20
2

Jak Malone

Operation Mincemeat

491

59

9/2
3

Christopher Sieber

Death Becomes Her

507

44

11/2
4

David Thaxton

Sunset Blvd.

260

8

12/1
5

Michael Urie

Once Upon a Mattress

416

22

13/1
6

Thom Sesma

Dead Outlaw

117

10

14/1
7

Julio Monge

Buena Vista Social Club

260

1

28/1
8

Brooks Ashmanskas

Smash

28

1

33/1
9

Michael Park

Redwood

15

1

44/1
10

Marcus Choi

Maybe Happy Ending

7

1

100/1
11

Marc Kudisch

Floyd Collins

7

0

100/1
12

Dashiell Eaves

Dead Outlaw

5

0

100/1
13

Jason Gotay

Floyd Collins

33

0

100/1
14

Mel Semé

Buena Vista Social Club

8

1

100/1
15

David Cumming

Operation Mincemeat

22

0

100/1
16

Christian Borle

Tammy Faye

12

0

100/1
17

Dez Duron

Maybe Happy Ending

11

1

100/1
18

Gavin Lee

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

7

2

100/1
19

Sean Astin

Elf

9

0

100/1
20

Zachary Noah Piser

Redwood

4

1

100/1
21

Erich Bergen

BOOP! The Musical

3

0

100/1
22

Daniel Breaker

Once Upon a Mattress

3

1

100/1
23

Michael Cerveris

Tammy Faye

4

1

100/1
24

Brooks Ashmanskas

Once Upon a Mattress

1

1

100/1
25

John Behlmann

Smash

4

0

100/1
26

Preston Truman Boyd

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

2

0

100/1
27

Stephen DeRosa

BOOP! The Musical

3

0

100/1
28

Stark Sands

Swept Away

2

0

100/1
29

Will Chase

Once Upon a Mattress

1

0

100/1
30

Kevin Csolak

Gypsy

1

0

100/1
31

Jainardo Batista Sterling

Buena Vista Social Club

0

0

100/1
32

Wesley Wray

Buena Vista Social Club

0

0

100/1
33

Taylor Trensch

Floyd Collins

1

0

100/1

Best Featured Actress (Play)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kara Young

Purpose

380

122

9/2
2

Jessica Hecht

Eureka Day

199

36

11/2
3

Andrea Martin

McNeal

420

273

6/1
4

Bianca Leigh

Oh, Mary!

192

8

8/1
5

Mare Winningham

Cult of Love

389

17

9/1
6

Helena Wilson

The Hills of California

349

34

11/1
7

Amber Gray

Eureka Day

343

24

13/1
8

Leanne Best

The Hills of California

36

3

18/1
9

Tala Ashe

English

52

3

42/1
10

LaTanya Richardson Jackson

Purpose

37

2

44/1
11

Molly Bernard

Cult of Love

4

0

87/1
12

Ilana Glazer

Good Night, and Good Luck

34

3

92/1
13

Michelle Wilson

Our Town

117

0

92/1
14

Zoey Deutch

Our Town

19

2

100/1
15

Kimber Elayne Sprawl

Othello

8

1

100/1
16

Shailene Woodley

Cult of Love

23

7

100/1
17

Marjan Neshat

English

15

1

100/1
18

Gabby Beans

Romeo + Juliet

20

3

100/1
19

Tommy Dorfman

Romeo + Juliet

9

1

100/1
20

Molly Osborne

Othello

6

1

100/1
21

Katie Holmes

Our Town

5

0

100/1
22

Ophelia Lovibond

The Hills of California

5

0

100/1
23

Renee Elise Goldsberry

All In: Comedy About Love

5

0

100/1
24

Pooya Mohseni

English

6

0

100/1
25

Stori Ayers

Home

1

1

100/1
26

Rosie Benton

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

3

0

100/1
27

Rebecca Henderson

Cult of Love

3

0

100/1
28

Roberta Colindrez

Cult of Love

0

0

100/1
29

Barbie Ferreira

Cult of Love

1

0

100/1
30

Brittany Inge

Home

1

0

100/1

Best Featured Actor (Play)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kieran Culkin

Glengarry Glen Ross

516

439

39/20
2

Conrad Ricamora

Oh, Mary!

507

63

37/10
3

Bob Odenkirk

Glengarry Glen Ross

483

20

11/2
4

Bill Irwin

Eureka Day

389

1

13/1
5

Francis Jue

Yellow Face

113

4

18/1
6

Ephraim Sykes

Our Town

262

2

30/1
7

Harry Lennix

Purpose

67

1

33/1
8

James Scully

Oh, Mary!

129

9

35/1
9

Bill Burr

Glengarry Glen Ross

41

0

42/1
10

Hadi Tabbal

English

36

0

72/1
11

Clark Gregg

Good Night, and Good Luck

35

0

75/1
12

Glenn Davis

Purpose

10

1

100/1
13

Zachary Quinto

Cult of Love

23

2

100/1
14

Gabriel Ebert

John Proctor is the Villain

14

0

100/1
15

Andrew Burnap

Othello

12

0

100/1
16

T.R. Knight

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

7

0

100/1
17

John Mulaney

All In: Comedy About Love

6

1

100/1
18

Fred Armisen

All In: Comedy About Love

3

0

100/1
19

Billy Eugene Jones

Our Town

2

1

100/1
20

Michael McKean

Glengarry Glen Ross

6

0

100/1
21

Richard Thomas

Our Town

5

0

100/1
22

Alex Breaux

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

2

0

100/1
23

Richard Kind

All In: Comedy About Love

2

0

100/1
24

Tony Macht

Oh, Mary!

1

0

100/1
25

David Rasche

Cult of Love

3

0

100/1
26

Christopher Sears

Cult of Love

1

0

100/1
27

Ryan Eggold

Yellow Face

1

0

100/1
28

Fran Kranz

Good Night, and Good Luck

0

0

100/1
29

Anthony Michael Lopez

Othello

0

0

100/1
30

Christopher Lowell

Cult of Love

1

0

100/1
31

Thomas Middleditch

Eureka Day

1

0

100/1

Best Director (Musical)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sunset Blvd.

497

225

47/20
2

Gypsy

452

234

4/1
3

Operation Mincemeat

389

8

11/2
4

Death Becomes Her

414

14

15/2
5

Maybe Happy Ending

293

20

8/1
6

Dead Outlaw

112

2

15/1
7

Buena Vista Social Club

269

6

20/1
8

Floyd Collins

28

0

100/1
9

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

9

0

100/1
10

BOOP! The Musical

12

2

100/1
11

Smash

14

0

100/1
12

Once Upon a Mattress

7

1

100/1
13

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

7

0

100/1
14

Just in Time

6

0

100/1
15

Tammy Faye

5

0

100/1
16

Swept Away

4

0

100/1
17

A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical

2

1

100/1
18

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

2

0

100/1
19

Redwood

3

0

100/1
20

Elf

2

0

100/1
21

The Last Five Years

2

0

100/1

Best Director (Play)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Oh, Mary!

480

415

7/4
2

The Hills of California

439

31

19/5
3

Good Night, and Good Luck

419

20

15/2
4

John Proctor is the Villain

304

3

11/1
5

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

141

6

13/1
6

Glengarry Glen Ross

328

6

16/1
7

The Picture of Dorian Gray

106

4

22/1
8

English

40

3

72/1
9

Purpose

31

3

90/1
10

Othello

47

3

95/1
11

Our Town

81

3

100/1
12

Eureka Day

9

0

100/1
13

Romeo + Juliet

19

2

100/1
14

Yellow Face

6

0

100/1
15

The Roommate

4

0

100/1
16

Cult of Love

2

0

100/1
17

JOB

2

0

100/1
18

Home

1

0

100/1
19

All In: Comedy About Love

2

0

100/1
20

McNeal

0

0

100/1
21

Left on Tenth

0

0

100/1

Best Original Score

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Death Becomes Her

462

166

3/1
2

Maybe Happy Ending

397

77

39/10
3

Operation Mincemeat

430

17

11/2
4

The Hills of California

323

184

7/1
5

Dead Outlaw

207

25

7/1
6

BOOP! The Musical

330

11

23/2
7

Smash

62

2

28/1
8

Oh, Mary!

116

2

78/1
9

Redwood

16

0

82/1
10

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

21

1

100/1
11

Romeo + Juliet

19

1

100/1
12

JOB

3

0

100/1
13

The Roommate

3

0

100/1
14

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

6

0

100/1
15

Tammy Faye

5

0

100/1

Best Musical Book

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Death Becomes Her

459

335

23/10
2

Operation Mincemeat

448

53

18/5
3

Maybe Happy Ending

452

56

4/1
4

Dead Outlaw

238

17

15/2
5

Buena Vista Social Club

313

2

16/1
6

BOOP! The Musical

291

11

18/1
7

Smash

63

1

33/1
8

Redwood

9

0

72/1
9

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

20

1

100/1
10

Swept Away

9

0

100/1
11

Just in Time

13

0

100/1
12

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

13

1

100/1
13

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

11

0

100/1
14

Tammy Faye

5

0

100/1
15

A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical

3

0

100/1

Best Choreography

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Death Becomes Her

447

350

29/10
2

Smash

197

21

9/2
3

Gypsy

411

33

13/2
4

BOOP! The Musical

243

25

8/1
5

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

348

6

8/1
6

Sunset Blvd.

114

13

13/1
7

Once Upon a Mattress

263

7

18/1
8

Buena Vista Social Club

45

9

30/1
9

Operation Mincemeat

223

4

35/1
10

Stephen Sondheim's Old Friends

3

0

87/1
11

Stranger Things: The First Shadow

4

0

100/1
12

A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical

16

4

100/1
13

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

10

0

100/1
14

Swept Away

6

0

100/1
15

Elf

2

1

100/1
16

The Hills of California

1

1

100/1
17

Just in Time

3

1

100/1
18

Tammy Faye

4

0

100/1
19

Dead Outlaw

1

0

100/1
20

The Last Five Years

1

0

100/1
21

Redwood

2

0

100/1
22

Floyd Collins

0

0

100/1

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