The 2020 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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   Risch: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Jordan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican senator Jim Risch won reelection to a third term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Paulette Jordan, who, percentage wise, had the worst performance of a Democratic senatorial candidate for this seat since 2002. However, Risch also performed nearly three points worse than he did when he was reelected in 2014, and he slightly underperformed incumbent president Donald Trump's performance in the concurrent presidential election.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Risch (incumbent) | 200,184 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 200,184 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Paulette Jordan, former state representative and nominee for governor of Idaho in 2018[3]
Eliminated in primary
edit- James Vandermaas, former law enforcement officer and candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018[4]
Withdrawn
edit- Nancy Harris, businesswoman[5] (endorsed Jordan)
- Travis Oler, farmer and U.S. Army veteran (ran for state house)[6] (endorsed Vandermaas)
Declined
edit- A.J. Balukoff, Boise School District board member, nominee for governor of Idaho in 2014, and candidate for governor of Idaho in 2018[7] (endorsed Vandermaas)
- Mark Nye, state senator[7]
- Michelle Stennett, minority leader of the Idaho Senate[7]
Endorsements
editPaulette Jordan
Individuals
- Nancy Harris, businesswoman and withdrawn candidate[8]
- Aaron Paul, actor known for Breaking Bad[9]
Publications
James Vandermaas
Individuals
- A.J. Balukoff, Boise School District board member and nominee for governor of Idaho in 2014[citation needed]
- Travis Oler, farmer and withdrawn candidate[11]
Results
edit
Jordan
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 72,778 | 85.70% | |
| Democratic | James Vandermaas | 12,145 | 14.30% | |
| Total votes | 84,923 | 100.00% | ||
Other candidates
editConstitution Party
editNominee
edit- Ray Writz[12]
Independents
editDeclared
edit- Natalie Fleming, software developer[13]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[14] | Solid R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[17] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico[18] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[19] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[20] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[22] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
editPaulette Jordan (D)
U.S vice presidents
Individuals
- Nancy Harris, businesswoman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[8]
- Aaron Paul, actor known for Breaking Bad[9]
Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[24]
- DSCC[25]
- Emily’s List[26]
- National Education Association[27]
- National Women's Political Caucus[28]
Publications
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Risch (R) |
Paulette Jordan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [A][B] | August 29 – September 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 28% | 8%[b] | 11% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Risch (incumbent) | 538,446 | 62.62% | −2.71% | |
| Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 285,864 | 33.25% | −1.42% | |
| Independent | Natalie Fleming | 25,329 | 2.95% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Ray Writz | 10,188 | 1.18% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 859,827 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
editBy county
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[33] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By congressional district
editRisch won both congressional districts.[34]
| District | Risch | Jordan | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 66% | 30% | Russ Fulcher |
| 2nd | 59% | 37% | Mike Simpson |
See also
editNotes
editPartisan clients
- ^ [30]
- ^ Poll conducted for the Women's Liberation Front.
References
edit- ^ Russell, Betsy (August 12, 2019). "Risch announces re-election bid for 3rd Senate term in 2020". Idaho Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
- ^ a b "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
- ^ Jennifer Bendery. "Idaho Democrat Paulette Jordan Is Running For Senate", HuffPost, February 7, 2020. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
- ^ "Third Dem announces bid for Risch's Senate seat in 2020". Idaho Press. October 7, 2019.
- ^ "Harris withdraws from Idaho Senate race". Kootenai Valley Times. February 13, 2020.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Travis Oler Discontinues US Senate Campaign and Runs for Idaho State Legislature". Travis Oler for Idaho. Retrieved March 14, 2020.[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b c Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
- ^ a b "Paulette Jordan on Instagram: "Nancy Harris has a strong voice and the best of intentions for Idaho. I'm very grateful for her support. Thank you, @nancyharrisforsenate…"". Instagram. Archived from the original on December 26, 2021.
- ^ a b Miller, Kevin (February 14, 2020). "Aaron Paul endorses Jordan Paulette". Kido Talk Radio. Retrieved April 25, 2020.
- ^ "Statesman endorses Democrat primary candidate for U.S. Senate". Idaho Statesman. May 10, 2020.
- ^ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- ^ "WRITZ, RAY - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate – Partisan Free Independent Candidate for United States Congress for Idaho".
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "Biden endorses Idaho's Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate". KHQ. October 8, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Endorsements". Center Action Fund.
- ^ "DSCC Endorses Paulette Jordan in Idaho Senate Race". DSCC. July 23, 2020.
- ^ "Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate, Idaho | EMILY's List". Archived from the original on September 26, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
- ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
- ^ "Endorsed candidates". NWPC. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
- ^ @electpaulette (October 4, 2020). "I am proud to receive this historic endorsement from Idaho's biggest newspaper! They write that Senator Risch has been disappointing and that it's time for new leadership. I couldn't agree more. Let's win this and make Idaho proud. Link in my bio! #Paulette2020 #idpol" – via Instagram.
- ^ [1]
- ^ "2020 General Election Results – Statewide". Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
- ^ "Idaho Senate Election Results 2020". National Election Pool. NBC News. March 7, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
- ^ "Idaho U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
- ^ "Dra 2020".
External links
edit- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Idaho", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Idaho: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Idaho". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Idaho at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites